Thailand - Investors optimistic about Kingsgate resolution

October 11, 2021 Edward Dever

Judging by the recent run up in the share price of ASX-listed mining company Kingsgate Consolidated Limited, investors may be punting on a successful resolution of its long running dispute with the Thai Government. (Kingsgate also announced that it continues negotiations for the sale of its gold-silver exploration and development project in Chile, which may also be a contributing factor in the share price rise.)

Kingsgate commenced arbitration proceedings against the Thai Government under the Thailand-Australia Free Trade Agreement (TAFTA) in 2017 following the Thai Government's 2016 order suspending mine operations. This is the first significant test of TAFTA's provisions.

In its latest ASX release, Kingsgate states that "negotiations between the Company and the Royal Thai Government are now entering the final stages. Kingsgate has also been advised that the arbitral tribunal is now ready to issue the award after a lengthy period of deliberations".

The parties have jointly requested that "the arbitral tribunal hold the award until 31 October 2021, to allow the parties a short extension to conclude their settlement negotiations."

Interestingly, the 23 September release makes no reference to compensation by the Thai Government for Kingsgate's losses. Kingsgate's Chairman was previously quoted as stating "[t]here is a definition of expropriation in the Tafta agreement and this certainly fulfils that and so we want full compensation.”

The release sets out a non-exhaustive range of steps as part of settlement negotiations. But no reference to compensation. That does not mean that there will be no compensation as part of any settlement but it seems odd that it was not mentioned. A likely sticking point in the negotiations.

Other disputes between the Thai Government and foreign companies have shown how hard it is to extract compensation from the Government, even with the benefit of an arbitral award. Kingsgate's approach presumably takes these difficulties into account.

It will be interesting to see if Kingsgate can conclude a successful resolution and whether the Thai Government will honour any settlement commitments.

Thailand Update – 23 September 2021

October 2021

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Political Risk - The Government Slot Machine That Never Pays Out

March 18, 2021 Edward Dever

In the 1990s, Bangkok embarked on three mass transit infrastructure projects - Hopewell, which was never built, and the completed BTS (Skytrain) and MRT (subway) systems. Arguably, Bangkok would have been better served by a single commuter transport network, preferably the MRT. Such a plan would have required Government departments to work together and a corruption-free system of government.

At the end of a long arbitration and court process following the cancellation of its project, Hopewell finds there is no guarantee that it will ever see compensation from the Thai government.

The latest hiccup in Hopewell's claim seems to be based on procedural errors relating to the Supreme Administrative Court's resolution in favour of Hopewell. The Constitution Court has ruled that these errors make the resolution unenforceable.

The Supreme Administrative Court's apparent inability to follow its procedural rules is hardly Hopewell's fault and it would be reasonable for Hopewell to contend that their claim shouldn't be denied due to the Court's errors.

But this is Thailand and it is likely that the Government is looking for any excuse to avoid paying compensation.

Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd, currently awaiting a decision in their arbitration case for compensation relating to the closure of the Chatree gold mine, will no doubt be watching developments in the Hopewell case with interest.

A win for Kingsgate in their arbitration case may not necessarily mean the end of their saga if the Hopewell case is an indicator of the Government's approach.

Hopewell saga bombshell - Constitutional Court reverses 2002 ruling

March 2021

Will Hong Kong Remain An Attractive Arbitration Destination?

February 10, 2021 Edward Dever

Some interesting comments on moves by companies to switch from Hong Kong as the governing law and place of arbitration in contracts in the wake of China's tightening grip on the Territory.

In contracts involving foreign companies and counterparts in South East Asia, Hong Kong and Singapore are often viewed as preferred independent arbitration locations. Any shift away from Hong Kong may be a boon for Singapore.

When acting for foreign companies, the method of dispute resolution is often crucial. In some jurisdictions, foreign arbitral awards may be enforceable upon registration whereas foreign court judgments can only be used as evidence in local civil proceedings.

It is understandable that companies may be nervous using Hong Kong as a place of arbitration when the long term implications of the changes in Hong Kong remain unknown.

Companies consider writing Hong Kong out of legal contracts

February 2021