Media reports indicate that THAI's plan submitted on 2 March 2021 to the Bankruptcy Court in Bangkok does not deal with its massive debt burden. The plan apparently contemplates increasing THAI's debts.
THAI has around THB 410 billion (USD 13.5b) in debt.
It needs to raise around THB 50 billion (USD 1.65b) over the next two years.
This may be achieved through “borrowing, investment or debt to equity conversion” according to THAI. (Any debt/equity conversion would not raise new funds.)
The plan does not require haircuts or debt reductions, apparently out of fear that creditors may not approve the plan. Instead, THAI has asked for a three-year debt moratorium after which the debt will be repaid.
THAI's plan is to create a three year debt time out during which it will attempt to turn around the airline. It plans to achieve this via four steps including making it the airline of choice, expanding services, upgrading digital capabilities and improving operational and cost efficiencies.
The lack of balance sheet reform under the plan will remain an IED with a three year fuse. Worse, it looks like a missed opportunity.
There are two main reasons for using court-sanctioned rehabilitation proceedings in Thailand:
1. To protect a company from creditors while it restructures.
2. To implement balance sheet reform using the Bankruptcy Act's plan voting procedures to cram down creditors.
No doubt there are political issues at work but not using the Act's provisions to implement balance sheet reform does seem like a missed opportunity.
THAI's financial woes preceded Covid-19 and it seems unlikely that THAI will have such a change in its fortunes that, in three years, its debt burden becomes sustainable.
THAI has long been burdened by its vast array of aircraft and engine types so plans to reduce its types of aircraft from twelve to five and types of aircraft engines from nine to four are a step in the right direction.
THAI's creditors will meet on 12 May 2021 to vote on the plan.
Thai Airways seeks to raise B50bn
March 2021
© PELEN 2021
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